Interrupted by a frog
May 27, 2021
Next update: June 17th
*Best Financial Educational Provider, International Finance Awards.**
Upcoming Zoom seminars 10am-5pm venue: Your Place!
NEW OVERFLOW SEMINAR DATE: For
beginners and improvers - July 28th
(June date is sold out)
If you want more than the book and see me do it live, come and spend a day with me and live markets online! See trades from my own accounts, research, level 2, and finding great shares from scratch. Also psychology, websites to use, when to buy and when not with live examples, building portfolios and tons more, no experience necessary and no question too stupid! And chat to me direct. Also chatroom all day. For more details,
costs etc email at robbiethetrader with "July seminar interested"
Thanks very much for your feedback to the NT Radio show 4. Glad you
enjoyed it! If you haven't heard it yet it is here:
>
I am seeing a nice group of you online tomorrow for a follow up advanced seminar and
I can't wait to look at and discuss lots of shares and thank you all for the returned "Homeworks" and your great ideas.
I've known a number of you for years so it should be rather nice.
STOP PRESSL June sold out, new date July 28th mail for details.
I will also be seeing those of you I haven't seen before at the beginners/improvers seminar on June 9th. There is still space left at this zoom/online one, mail me for details at robbiethetrader with "June seminar interested" in the subject line.
Isn't it great that everything is opening up again? Cinemas, theatres and all, good to see life starting to get back to normal though I guess there will be some anxiousness in going out again for people who have been stuck at home for so long.
I am very pleased for my sister Nica who owns six west end theatres who is back up and running. She has tried hard to always be open when she can and has done an amazing job in getting shows back live.
I would recommend "Everyone's Talking About Jaime" at her Apollo theatre - I don't like musicals much but this is a brilliant modern one go and see - there are other great shows on at her other theatres.
Go to to see what is on. Oh if you like crazy comedy "The Show That Goes Wrong" is great fun. Get out there and see some live shows!
One of the most irritating things of my current back problem is I can't quite get down far enough to cut my toenails.
And with that sentence Robbie lost all his website readers for good - talk about too much information!
Feeling my sex life might end if I requested Mrs NT to do it and turning down an offer of £10 for the job from my teen. (I'd rather have bad nails than be hacked to death) I hired a pro.
Yes, a visiting chiropodist. Frankly it was rather nice lying on the sofa having feet attended to and buffed up. For a few minutes I felt like a Roman God.
In the middle of the process, large cat Jacob comes through the flap. "He's got something," said nail lady.
I thought: "Oh no it's a mouse and nail lady will scream and run out of the kitchen, I don't get my nails done and also she will see what a wuss I am when I don't tackle the mouse."
Calm as anything, she announced it was a frog. Cat had deposited the frog pretty much at her feet.
Ah he has brought you a present," she said. She then proceeded to pick up the frog and calmly took it into the garden and popped it into the bushes much to the cat's annoyance.
I blustered and made it clear obviously if I hadn't been lying on the sofa I would have dealt with the matter myself. But the real truth? I'm not good with wild animals.
I think it was because years ago on a roadtrip holiday in the USA I was confronted by a squirrel in the hotel car park.
We locked eyes and it literally ran at me. It chased me twice round the car and continued to chase as I dashed into hotel reception. I am sure it gave me the finger before it left.
I had a nice win this week as managed a short drive, my first for six months since the operation. It took a bit of courage and I continue to gradually improve using mind-body techniques.
I have bad days and good days but getting plenty of "wins" like longer walks, swims and suchlike. Sitting for any length of time is still a problem but continue to tackle that. I can now sit for longer and longer.
Next challenge is a drive to Tescos, go in and buy something. Then the week after is is a ten minute drive to get jab number 2 (astra). I didn't get many symptoms last time so hopefully this time it will be fine too.
Then my goal is to gradually introduce more swimming and the goal after that? A meal at a restaurant!
Tension myosotis syndrome (which I think I have) can be tricky to heal if you have a very
active brain which I am sure I have!
The key is to be indifferent to any pain - the brain is actually trying to protect me from what it considers dangerous things since the hip op. Swimming! Walking ! Sitting! Are you crazy it is dangerous, take a load of pain so you don't do that again.
So I am working on the subconscious with meditations, somatic tracking and breathing. At some point my work will feed through and the pain will go. And actually I think there will be a bonus: I think I will come out of this understanding more about the body, human nature and be a little more spiritual.
Great to spend time with some of you at the last zoom seminar.
There's a new date if you missed this one, it's on July 28th, come and spend all day with me online and live markets, and you can even see all my accounts! (Don't hack them and buy crap for me).
Jas, thanks for your mail as you've been to two zoom seminars.
Just wanted to say thank you for a couple of wonderful seminars.
Your seminars were brilliant. Delivered methodically and with just a simple honest approach to dealing with the markets. You've helped me immensely in sorting my trading plan out and finding a good and profitable way to trade. After many months trying to figure out level 2, you sorted that out in one afternoon.
Since the seminar, I have placed 5 trades, 2 have closed out with profits and 3 are still running with profits. All trades placed using fundamental research and not Youtube videos
from David:
Well it doesn't happen often, but I am absolutely speechless! I don't think I have ever spent a more worthwhile day nor spent money more wisely and gladly.
I for one was practically at the point of orgasm all day in my enjoyment and appreciation of what you were presenting! Even though I have read NT time and again, to see you going through the process of stock assessment over and over was incalculably useful and I managed to take six A4 pages of notes during the day. I was fascinated to learn about (and see) Level 2 in action and learn more about Spread "ËœBetting'.
I thought the presentation balance was perfection, and Elizabeth was a complete star with her very well-judged handling of the questions....
.....This is a rather long-winded way of saying thank you so much to both of you - today was one of the top five most enjoyable days of my life, and I greatly look forward to joining you again!"
from Giles:
I just wanted to say thank you so much for the seminar last week. It was exactly what I needed to give me the additional confidence I need having read your books. You managed the almost impossible task of making a full day on a Zoom call really enjoyable and importantly, really useful. I also think the way you worked together to cover off all the questions the group had throughout the day was fantastic."
For those of you who missed that one, the next will be March 17th, and
anyone welcome to spend the day with me and Elizabeth. Mail for details
at robbiethetrader with "March interested".
Elizabeth has been brilliant for the electronic sessions, asking me the hardest
questions put by attendees in the all the day chat room a la Jeremy Paxman. She also does some
great sorting out of any tech problems delegates have.
Naked Rambling
The one thing definitely coming out of the Dominic Cummings session is .. he is a total arsehole!
And who would ever want to work with him? Because you know any silly comment you make, or anything at all you ever say will be written down and used against you.
He is pretty vicious and who does he hate more than anyone? Himself !
I know we all miss having holidays abroad but I do feel for this summer just forget about it!
Think about other things instead. Write that novel you always intended to do, learn a new sport, build an extension. Just think of all the time you could do really constructive things. Alternatively pretend you are on holiday at home and chill out with a good book.
Next year or in the autumn go on holiday. It is pointless for this summer. It will not be relaxing to be in a giant airport queue, having to wear masks and social distancing.
Lord Sir Keir is thinking about letting a TV documentary crew follow him around. Big mistake, because however well you think you will come over, you won't!
These docs and all of TV thrives on the bad stuff, it needs drama.
So the producers could have acres of footage of you doing good things, and only small amounts of bad things. Guess what is going to end up in the edit?
Keir must also realise he isn't one of the people you would want to go to the pub with. Whatever your beliefs nearly everyone would rather spend an evening in the pub with Boris and not Keir and that is the vacuous reason he is doing so well.
T. Blair was the last labour leader you'd want to have a night out with so if they want to win an election find the man or woman who people would pick to spend an evening with. I agree it is sad that this is what matters but there we are.
The Pact (****) BBC1
Good entertainment from this one as long as you buy into its unlikely initial premise and a few cliches ("I know what you did" message demanding money is a bit cliched). The second and third episodes picked up the pace and we are now hooked!
Life in Color (****) (Amazon Prime)
Sweet short movie featuring two depressed characters who get together to find a bit of happiness. A lot of fun, some great lines and no cop out ending. It has won a few awards and I can see why. Worth a view, I took one star off as come on, Color should be Colour.
Solos (***) (Amazon Prime)
Interesting sci fi ish series. A series of one offs featuring one famous actor. They are more like plays then TV shows. Time travel, and AI bots feature as the shows are set a few years in the future. I guess I wish I liked them more but perhaps they are a bit worthy rather than really entertaining. Thought provoking though.
Inside Number 9 (****) (BBC 2)
A welcome return for this hilarious show with superb writing and acting. The second episode so far the best for me with a great piss take of the obsessive Game of Thrones fans and what was considered to be a duff ending. Some great twists and turns. I have no idea how they keep coming up with great ideas, it must be fun!
The Money Maker (***) (Ch 4)
An odd hybrid of Dragon's Den and The Apprentice. Very self satisfied entrepreneur who talks like Obama goes into businesses and invests or not if he thinks he can turn it around. I get the feeling he's just paying out a few quid to get some TV exposure,
Best episode so far was a bakery where it was obvious from the start the owner wasn't interested in any help with anything. His confirmation bias and refusal to use social media to promote the business was fascinating. One gets the feeling after the cameras have left is the businesses will default back to where they were. As usual the businesses can't make much because they are mainly in tough competitive markets like food delivery with low margins.
The moral of the show is - just never get involved in food or drink businesses!
Motherland (****) (BBC 2)
A third series of this brilliantly funny and sometimes dark comedy. Definitely more hard hitting this time round as beyond the comedy family relations are explored especially mother-daughter relationships. Diane Morgan steals the show overall.
What a great penalty shootout in the Europa final last night. You have to feel sorry for Degea -I mean you can't expect a goalie to take penalties. Unlucky, Man U fans. It must have been horrible for the fans to travel all that way and now they have to isolate. Bummer.
A digital media expert in The Times says if you follow up an email twice with no response, switch to a different method of communications."
No way. It really means the recipient never wants to hear from you ever on any media whatsoever!
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Research Tree is a site that offers broker notes on shares, indepth with all the financials and target prices. So if a company reports, you can see what the brokers think - and you can also see the upgrades and downgrades. Plus the top shorted shares, a news feed and lots more.
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Stockopedia is indeed like a stock market encyclopedia and a great place to scan for new shares to buy, check out fundamentals...there is even a stock screen loosely based on my criteria! You can try it for free too.
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Just mail me at robbiethetrader if you'd like any of these with "advfn offers" in the subject line. Please note if you want to discontinue the sub you need to give a month's notice by post. L2 offer includes silver and bronze.
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EMAILS: I do beg you not to send me emails asking me for advice on a particular share. It isn't legal for me to give you individual advice and all I do is send you a mail saying that, which wastes a lot of my time and yours too.
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COPYING TRADES: I can't stop you from copying a trade I made but remember the price may already be a lot higher than I paid indeed I hope it is as buying at good prices is what I do for a living. You may be buying at the top and could easily lose money. Also I can make terrible mistakes and have done in the past. I could also sell before you or before the share tanks. I may still be holding in a year when you sold at a loss. Always do your own research, don't jump in blindly. Market makers are very clever at knowing how to make you pay top dollar and then push you out at a loss. This site is about sensible investment and learning how to trade sensibly and is not a tipping site. Beware. Never push buy on anything till you've done proper research and got yourself a sensible price.
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MARKETS
Naked Trader Radio show featuring lots of virus bounceback
share ideas, plus tips for newbies for beginner click here:
>
Upcoming Zoom seminars 10am-5pm venue: Your Place!
NEW OVERFLOW SEMINAR DATE: July 28th For
beginners and improvers -
(June date is sold out)
If you want more than the book and see me do it live, come and spend a day with me and live markets online! See trades from my own accounts, research, level 2, and finding great shares from scratch. Also psychology, websites to use, when to buy and when not with live examples, building portfolios and tons more, no experience necessary and no question too stupid! And chat to me direct. Also chatroom all day.
Details from me at robbiethetrader please
put "July sem interested" in the subject line.
I've had many queries as to when I will be getting the "Naked money" podcasts up and running again. A series where I teach a novice trader how to do it and
every week we pick a share.
Glad to report the 6k we invested together is now
over 9k, a 50pc return over 5 months.
Soon I hope as soon as the osteopath fixes the slipped discs and can sit for more than 15 mins. If you didn't catch it search for naked money whereever you get podcasts from.
My more entertainment based podcast with fun and music as well as lots of shares chat "The naked trader radio show" I hope to get going again soon.
If you never caught that google it, there are four shows, the latest "the naked trader radio show podcast 4"
I've had a lovely time shorting Bitcon - been brilliant! After my last attempt at shorting turned into a loss, this time a much better result.
It has become more and more obvious this was going to happen when frankly the kids of friends started buying it two weeks ago. If other kids are buying it too, it couldn't be long for a crash.
Also I was getting an email a day urging me to buy it in the usual "fill your boots" bulletin board way suggesting I read up about it.
So I got a short on around the $55 area and took profits using a trailing stop at 35.
I bet you would love me to explain to you how I think Bitcon works.
And I can't think of a better way of explaining Bitcon to you than this video. This should easily explain the whole thing to you - Bitcon is represented by "The bit of paper."
See how easy it is for the bit of paper (bitcom) to rise in value!
>
See? Hope that explains it! Of course the whole thing is uncannily accurate about how the whole of the banking system works.
Anyway the price of BC is all about Elon Musk and how he feels about it from one day to the next. He is now giving away a Tesla with every bitcon you buy from him. (BTW good luck finding anywhere to get it charged!)
Right now, back to olde worlde investing then. Day traders and bitcoin traders you can leave now, it is all dull stuff from now.
Olde worlde investing can actually make money if you have patience and for the first time ever I copped two bids on one day which to me personally currently on paper means profits of over £100,000 - profits for the open positions on the website are over £25,000.
The bids were for Vectura and Spire (I bought some more Spire recently).
There is a small chance potentially of a further bid for either or both, I usually wait a bit then sell half - not quite sure yet what I'll be doing.
You could make an argument both shares went too cheaply and that means just maybe there is a chance of a counter bid.
There are some rumours rebel Spire shareholders will try for a much better price and I agree 300p seems more reasonable given the property assets held by Spire.
Vectura bid includes a special 19p special dividend, that goes ex on June 1st so expect the shares to open down around 19p on that date.
My next best guess for bids are ITV , 888 and Gattaca. ITV is not far off getting a promo to the FTSE 100.
There are one or two detractors out there who think it is all insider trading from me! This is silly, as if the people in the know would think of telling me.. "Oh yes I must phone Robbie".
Not that I can do much as you can't shift people's opinions even if they are obviously totally ludicrous. I only ever had one friend who I discussed shares with and he was awful so I used to short anything he suggested.
But my whole investment strategy is based on finding bids and the methods are all in Naked Trader 5 and discussed a lot at the online seminars. I always ask when thinking of a trade, who could bid if it is cheap enough.
Turning to the main markets and yet again, just as shares tank down, a wall of cash again comes in! Though seems like the couple of days of down were enough to take out a few unwary stops!
This is the time when companies get a promotion to the FTSE 100/250 and Tyman looks to have a decent chance of getting a promotion.
Tyman (TYMN)has been going very well and I have jumped on board of this company which looks likely to enter the FTSE 250 next month.
Booming profits look to be the reason for the great performance and it looks like there could bemore to come especially as entry to the 250 will cause some fund buying.
Downside is it does have some debt - but also there are big net assets so no likelihood of a bust or anything like that.
It is really great to see this UK based company which supplies to the construction industry doing so well and especially good to see it doing well outside the UK too reaching into many countries.
I'm not sure yet whether to treat it as a shorter-term idea as fund managers buy in or keep it as a longer-term buy.
Speciality chemicals company Synthomer (SYNT) is on a roll which could easily continue.
It has reported stronger trading across all its divisions. Its latex division has really outperformed. I like the fact its reported debt is coming down very nicely and though looks a burden now it will be reducing - it also has massive net assets to compensate.
It goes ex dividend next Thursday for 8.6p so watch out for an opening drop.
After top slicing shares in Begbies, I bought some back. There was that statement all investors want to see "comfortably ahead of expectations."
Also net debt was way ahead of expectations ending up as net cash before an acquisition.
This one now looks like a nice longer-term tuckaway and unless any question marks appear and leave it in the isa long-term for continued growth.
Team 17 (TM17) shares have been weak for some time and as they started to bounce it looked like a good time to top up.
Shares in this games developer aren't cheap but it has a ton of cash and hidden value in its
Intellectual property.
It has a decent chance of getting back towards its previous highs of around 900p.
I shorted Superdry. It has gone up massively and in my opinion undeservedly. It still sells pretty crap clothing that is totally uncool for the big under 30 market. And the over 30s are only buying cheap T shirts in the sales.
It looks madly overvalued now and I can see loads of downside. I already made a lot shorting this last year and this looks like another chance of a repeat - I rate the shares nearer 200p than 400p.
I added another short in Trainline. Its business model just won't work in the future. The future will mainly now be, turn up at the station with your contactless card and ticket prices will all be the same. Turn up press your card at the barrier and that's that. I suppose there might be some market in season tickets and peak trains. But little doubt there will be less people travelling and more working from home.
I've averaged up in Sureserve. SUR A nice off the radar share gradually rising and I think worth upwards of 100p. It's probably just perceived to be boring but it's the boring ones that often double in value.
It looks too cheap at under 100p - value investors should get interested.
And I averaged up in Royal Mail after its excellent results. And just think I used to think it was a crap share with no prospects which goes to show always approach any new trade ideas with a total open mins and not worry so much about the past. The market looks It should get promoted to the FTSE 100 next month which could see the price jump further.
I took profits on Finncap a nice profit of £900 and also profits taken on Entain of £ 3,186.
Elsewhere Gattaca put out an improved outlook statement and then chief executive bought shares in the company.
A broker note on research-tree (see offer below) was very bullish and Gattaca target was raised to
280p a share which is nearly double the current price and indeed I do agree they still look very cheap.
The price of K3C is rising after the announcement of its debt facility which means it now has decent cash to be able to grow by buying up rivals. Continues to look a great isa tuckaway and might even be a takeover target itself at some point.
Shares in Ince have just started to rise - looks like a seller might be cleared, they look so cheap at anything under 90p.
I never really mention dividends! But I have collected a lot in the last couple of weeks.
Since the last update divs received are TT Electronics over £1,000 Moneysupermarket £250, Morgan Sindall paid out £900 odd, £84 from ABDP, £120 from Softcat, £470 from Begbies and over £1,000 from 888. I would have collected similar amounts from spreadbets on those too. I reckon I get more than £100,000 pa from dividends including in speadbets.
MAD IPO valuation alert!!
Apparently is going to be floated with a £1bn valuation.
According to The Times last year it lost £19m on revenue of £212m. Rememeber it is not an exciting tech company, it flogs online furniture,
With lockdown gone, people will want to try out sofas before buying, I reckon they are trying float as fast as possible. I can't wait to short it !
Money Week offer:
Money Week is a decent magazine which I get as well as the IC.
Shares wise there are quite a few features every week including what a fund manager is buying, all the tips from the papers are covered including places like the Telegraph, Times, Mail, Shares Mag etc and also IPOs are covered.
There is also a decent property and travel section. Also coverage of topics like pension planning, tech, spending and current and future economics.
There is usually a feature on a section of the market, last week it was biotech. There's plenty of interesting political and market commentary and more in depth articles.
The kind of mag I enjoy reading in the bath and I always find something that makes me have a think, and that's quite hard for me..
On the link there is also a decent discount so it's around £28-£32 for 13 issues depending on whether the mag is sent to you by post or digital or both. Personally I like an old fashioned mag for bath reading!
So- if you want the free six weekly issues and a discount the link is here:
>
Do let me know if any probs with getting the discount or freebies.
Spreadco is still paying 2pc interest up to £20,000 free cash which I enjoy getting and as we saw at the seminar its spreads on ftse 350 shares and the ftse always seem to be tightest.
> to open an account under Akeel.
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As most of you are aware I don't take ads or recommend anyone apart from the
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I could probably make millions from agreeing to deals offered by forex cos,
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So this site has broker notes on companies, plenty of in depth research. You can find things such as pre-tax profit forecasts and the most shorted companies. There's an easy search facility and also a news feed.
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Ig created a stir among traders by axeing coverage of 900 odd shares. Customers were forced onto 100pc margin and many have not long to close them out,
It said it was forced into it by its own broker - I suspect sb firms are alarmed by the Gamestop palava and they've been inundated with too many new accounts chasing the same pump and dump shares.
Out of the 900 axed shares I only held two and am allowed to hang on as a "pro" trader.
Actually an interesting list of mostly rubbish and I suspect those forced out might be glad eventually!
There are some surprise bigger shares in there that IG will no longer deal in so for those of you who mailed me re other accounts I suggest
>
for the top 350 shares, spreads are often the best and it will deal in most 350 shares and some that IG won't. It also pays 2% interest on free cash up to 20k paid monthly.
For small caps try Spreadex say for the moment they will carry on with most of the shares so that could be another place to deal in shares IG won't.
Those who moan about 100pc margins, well I do suggest in my SB book not to use margin much - the sb firms can any time ask you to go 100pc. If this is a worry and you do not have the money to cover look on it as a warning and stop using too much leverage ok! (Yes Robbie stop being horrid to me).
Trades made for my sipp are exclusively available on my
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The second show was here:
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Trade tables follow! Trades are current open and recently closed trades. Closed trades feature the closing price and the amount I won or lost. All others are open. Trades get updated a little later than the narrative. Trading costs are ignored, however I also do not add in dividend payments and with the kinds of companies I buy, dividends tend to equal or outweigh costs. Spread rollovers ignored for web purposes. Tables as accurate as poss however a mistake or two can creep in and very occasionally if I forgot I sold or bought something it will be added at a later time. Trades first reported in the diary under Markets every other Thursday afternoon.