Getting ready for rally
November 30, 2023
NEXT UPDATE DEC 18th
*Best Financial Educational Provider, International Finance Awards.**
NEW: Live online Seminar Feb 9th
For beginners and improvers.
Spend a day with me live from NT HQ with live markets and more.
Includes:
Share screening - Level 2- Trade hunting - Trade planning- spreadbetting-
Shorting - DMA - psychology - stop losses - taking profits - and lots more.
All live and using my own accounts to place trades on the day.
Interested? For more details mail me at robbiethetrader with
Feb seminar interested".
NT PODCAST AI, STRATEGIES AND LOVE!
Link:
The new book The Naked Trader's guide to Trading Strategies is officially out.
Thanks for the kind words from those of you who have read it already, I am really pleased.
Amazon link is here
It is also on Audible to listen to here:
If you don't have Audible a link with a 30 day trial is here
Well, Xmas feels like it's been here for years and there's still nearly a month to go.
Ok, call me a scrooge (You're a scrooge you miserable bast...)
I'll be meeting a few of you online and in real-life over December before heading for India in January.
I kick off the festive shares training shows with an online for beginners and improvers on Dec 6th.
Then it's two follow ups for those that have been to an online or hotel event before.
Live at the hotel with Xmas lunch, crackers and the bar after on Dec 11th.
For those of you who don't want to socialise with other gamblers..oops I meant investors...
or can't be arsed to travel there is an online follow up on the 15th.
Trades discovered from all these and a yearly roundup then will be on the final update of the year here on December 18th.
Questionnaires or homework will be sent out to all participants in the next few days.
See you all online or at the hotel in December and let's find some nice trades.
Yet more tips from some of you regarding the January big trip to India which frankly though kind are making me nervous.
Especially the tales from some of you of getting Delhi belli.
I am now thinking about just bringing loads of tubs of instant porridge.
Talking food been chatting with some restaurant owners and the tale of November for them is not good.
Bookings have been poor but there is an upside in that I'm told December bookings are looking good.
A tip of the hat to the lovely newish restaurant Hawthorne in Kew, next to the station.
Fantastic upmarket food and at £55 for three courses for lunch decent value for what's on offer.
Young chef Josh Hunter provides a real sensory tastes but star of the show is pudding.
The souffle is superb but the prune and armagnac pudding which might not sound great is out of this world, still dreaming about it now.
It's hard to make money on upscale food so I hope the young owners make it as I want to be eating there as often and long as I can while they turn out this excellent food.
Forgotten what fun it was to play snooker!
A friend has a flat in a complex nearby - the complex has a pool, jacuzzi, sauna, "golf room" and a snooker room among other delights.
Had a lovely morning in the spa and pool then a trip to the snooker room.
A massive table and it's such a fun game to play even if you're crap like me.
Elizabeth says she'll be in touch with those of you wanting to come to the April retreat in Spain soon, she will start to take confirmed bookings with a small deposit.
Thanks for all the lovely feedback from the last seminar.
Gary:
Thanks for a great day, I have been to many work related training events and this is the first where time just flew by and was disappointed when it ended, arrangements for the day were spot on.
Seeing Robbie in action was a real eye opener and having a chat with Robbie and Elizabeth in the bar after capped off the day in the best possible way."
Anne:
My husband and I had a lovely time. We learned so much, the hotel was great and the lunch fantastic. We didn't leave the bar till midnight!
Dave:
I've been a teacher for the last 30 years and I'm not sure I could have kept a group of pupils so captivated for so long. Humour and in-depth subject knowledge go a long way!
I loved seeing your thought process in deciding which shares to trade and level 2 was also an eye opener."
Phil:
The seminar was delivered with huge integrity (there was Zero hidden agenda/ulterior motives, it was simple and open with some great laughs thrown in)
As much as I found myself trying to complicate the process and make it more sophisticated in my own tiny brain.
You also took the time to answer "every" question anyone posed. And it was every question. Loads of shares ideas to boot, but more importantly the process to find your own. Brilliant!
Naked Rambling
What is going on in the music charts?
How can fecking Last fecking Xmas from Wham be in there in mid November?
And Rocking around the Xmas tree? It it's bad now it'll get worse in December.
New artists must be fuming all the Xmas twaddle from years past now clogs up the charts preventing new music from getting heard.
HMV is back on Oxford Street. Amazing. Vinyl has made a comeback.
I'm sure a lot of you are of the age when you bought vinyl.
I used to love going to Woolworth's and seeing all the singles and the covers.
And you actually OWN the music. It's that great!
What's next to make a comeback? How about landlines?
A phone that you can make calls on and the other person can actually hear what you're saying. An amazing innovation. And it doesn't need charging!
I'm hanging onto mine till it gets removed from my gnarled fingers. No idea how I'd talk to Vera for Help the Aged if we both used mobiles.
Squid Game **** Netflix
Surprisingly addictive reality show based on Squid Game. Just as well only based, there are no deaths!
456 show offs compete to win around £4m. Some prize!
It's a pretty cruel game, you can get eliminated through sheer bad luck.
God knows how much this all cost or even how they handled so many contestants, must have been a nightmare. If you don't want to get hooked in, don't tune in.
Payback ****
Thanks to a reader for pointing me towards this one.
A lovely uncomplicated gangster drama with no time shifts, how relaxing.
The story actually starts and ends in one timeline. Not really even much violence, a well told tale.
I'm A Celeb *** ITV
You can watch each ep in about 15 minutes with fast forwarding, the trials are boring but the chatty bits throw up some interest.
Top Alpha male Fred takes control of everything and everyone, don't invite him to anything or he'll take over.
He also thinks he's right about everything and pointless to get him to change his view.
Duracell Sam is exhausting to watch, goodness knows what he's like to live with.
Nigel F isn't really earning his £1.5m. He looks knackered and can't understand the youth of today at all.
He gets fag breaks away from the camera apparently.
Two have quit the show already and you do wonder whether the show's had its day.
The Crown *** Netflix
Elizabeth Debiki is astonishing as Princess Diana. What a show stealing performance.
As long as you treat it as a soap and not to take it too seriously, it's pretty entertaining.
I haven't got to the episode yet where Diana apparently appears as a ghost, not sure about that!
Deal or No Deal *** ITV
I know, I know, we all have our guilty secrets. I fast forward through most of it, I just enjoy pretending to be the banker and where I'd pitch the offer.
ITV has ruined it a bit by removing the £250,000 box. That always gave it some extra excitement.
I reckon better to have added a £500,000 box.
I don't think anyone would have the the courage to go for it so the money would be safe for ITV but make it a whole lot more watchable.
Griff Rhys Jones has been talking about his f***it list - an anti bucket list of things he never wants to do before he dies and things he's done he would never want to do again.
His list includes weddings, climbing volcanoes and cruises. Yes agree!
What are yours?
Mine include cold water immersion, clothes shopping, tube journeys, Tescos value anything, other people's holiday snaps, buying shit shares, travelling cattle class, New York, eating turkey/squid, Wham, Ed Sheeran, Xmas, ads, whatsap, tik tok, twitter/x, threesomes (unless Kylie is free), Legoland, economy flights, actually let me just stop or I could go on foreever.
Fun reading about the fracas at Open AI where the boss got fired and then returned.
I guess the board of this company just don't see Ai to Ai.
LOTS OF LOVELY DISCOUNTS HERE!!!
Sharescope/SharePad It has lots of great research tools, it is well laid out and it has pre-tax profit forecasts which I find very handy. You can also upgrade to level 2 and real time prices.
For more, including a video on what's offered plus a no quibble 30 day money back guarantee and a month or two months free go to this link:
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NEW: 20 per cent off Research Tree
Research Tree is a site that offers broker notes on shares, indepth with all the financials and target prices. So if a company reports, you can see what the brokers think - and you can also see the upgrades and downgrades. Plus the top shorted shares, a news feed and lots more.
To access the discount, set up a free account at To get a full account click "upgrade" to the package you'd like and for the 20% discount type "nakedtrader" into the discount code box. Enjoy!
25% off Stockopedia and free trial
Stockopedia is indeed like a stock market encyclopedia and a great place to scan for new shares to buy, check out fundamentals...there is even a stock screen loosely based on my criteria! You can try it for free too.
For your 25% discount off any sub (eg £56 discount off UK sub) and free 14 day trial you need this link:
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ADVFN offers
I have some big discounts on advfn bronze, silver and Level 2 for example level 2 through me it is only £508 for your first year including VAT!
This compares to £702.77 direct from advfn so this deal saves you �194.77
Just mail me at robbiethetrader if you'd like any of these with "advfn offers" in the subject line.
Note: I get commission from the above but do use all these sites personally and believe they are of huge benefit to investors. I always turn down approaches from those I don't use.
THIS SITE TO YOUR MAILBOX!
Website to your email PLUS extra trades which do not make it to the website for my pension
If you'd like the website material sent to your mailbox so you get everything before the site itself is updated every other Thursday plus one or two exclusive extra higher risk trades not featured on the site mail me at robbiethetrader with "email" in the subject line and I will send you details on how to subscribe.
MARKETS
EMAILS: I do beg you not to send me emails asking me for advice on a particular share. It isn't legal for me to give you individual advice and all I do is send you a mail saying that, which wastes a lot of my time and yours too.
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COPYING TRADES: I can't stop you from copying a trade I made but remember the price may already be a lot higher than I paid indeed I hope it is as buying at good prices is what I do for a living. You may be buying at the top and could easily lose money. Also I can make terrible mistakes and have done in the past. I could also sell before you or before the share tanks. I may still be holding in a year when you sold at a loss. Always do your own research, don't jump in blindly. Market makers are very clever at knowing how to make you pay top dollar and then push you out at a loss. This site is about sensible investment and learning how to trade sensibly and is not a tipping site. Beware. Never push buy on anything till you've done proper research and got yourself a sensible price.
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NEW podcast:
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Includes lots of chat about shares, scams, how to be a dragon to make money, plus a £100 competition, top tens, spot the intros, nostalgia corner and loads of laughs. Plus experienced investors have tips for beginners and investment ideas - settle down and spend some time with the Naked Trader.
MARKETS
The back end of November and the start of December generally tend to be scrooge-like, markets tend to fall, people get gloomy
Not sure why, The cynical might suggest markets get manipulated down to we can all get a lovely Santa rally and so fund managers end up with a better year end result.
Maybe, maybe not, who knows?
Then suddenly, mid December everyone is happy again and shares go up. Us humans are bananas.
More on the Santa rally coming up.
Generally around this time I try hard not to sell anything as rises might be on the way.
I've had a quiet time and been concentrating on writing Naked Trader 6 which will be out next September.
It's harder work to update an edition than write a new book.
So a quiet couple of weeks getting ready for a hectic December but looking forwards to speaking to some of you online or at the hotel.
Not much for me to report on this time then.
I picked up some Record after its interim statement.
Shares in the currency and asset manager have found a lot of support in the 65p area and look cheap in the 70s.
My idea is a medium-term trade for a recovery back up to the 80s-90s where it would become overvalued.
It's got a ton of cash and so is paying an increased dividend which stacks up to over 7pc.
It went ex dividend today for over 2p which I have bagged.
It's a definite to try and buy on DMA and therefore beat the 2-3p spread.
Be covering DMA and how and why and when to use it to try and buy at the sell price at the online event on Dec 6th so those of you coming we can get stuck right into it live.
I bought some more Good Energy.
That wasn't a hard decision. It had been going up ever since I bought it and I love averaging up.
On Tuesday we had a welcome "ahead of" statement.
While it is hard for many to get a share that has already gone up a lot, the fundamentals here look superb.
I suspect it's worth nearer 500p and it might get there early next year.
I made a nicely timed entry into Watches of Switzerland, played with this one in the past and been waiting patiently for a re-entry point.
This seemed like a good time to clock up a few shares in the FTSE 250 Rolex and other luxury watch sellers.
Shares were a while back well over double what they are now.
It is a risky buy though as results are out next week on the 7th and on results days shares often tumble even on a good report as I've mentioned a lot and further on.
But after some concern Rolex might decide to sell its own watches which has died down its trading statement earlier this month seemed bullish.
Things in the US are going well and loads of refurbished shops are re-opening around now for Xmas trade.
On a technical note, kind of wondering whether to bank part profits on the 6th before the statement.
If shares do keep going I'd consider holding for a while for more recovery. Time will tell.
It was easy to add some shares in Iqgeo.
The company had signalled a few times a capital markets day for analysts and investors explaining what it does and what the future holds.
I'd assumed whatever was said would be positive so bought some shares well in advance, and that worked because during the day the shares rose.
A good clue too is a director bought nearly 10,000 shares to add to his 80,000.
Let's see what happens but I now want to hold on grimly for a possible bid.
Its capital markets day (nearly three hours of it!) is on youtube, put in Iqgeo capital markets day and it will come up.
Shares going down on the day of even a good statement seems to be a given recently, it is very frustrating for investors.
Then suddenly the share starts to rise again.
Me Group MEGP is an example today. A decent statement, profits top expectations, a massive cash pile and a low pe. Revenue came in slightly under but I didn't think much to worry about.
Even after falling for some time recently which hit a stop for me on some of mine it still went down further.
I couldn't resist anyhow and bought some on the weakness today.
I did get stopped on two top ups for small website profits but held on tightly to the ones I got in the 70s last year.
Looks a superb value buy now for new investors. It's developed brand new machines, you can send your passport pic direct to the powers that be for a tenner.
Seems the food vending side needs sorting out but it is only a tiny bit of the biz so far.
I've had some decent dividends and if often pays special dividends too, so looks a nice isa tuckaway on the current weakness.
***Want my website email - that's all this stuff delivered to your mailbox on update days a little early plus one or two exclusive trades not shown here? E-mail for details at robbiethetrader with "Website and exclusive trades email offer."***
Telecom Plus reported well and went ex dividend today which is why it fell at start of play and I shall get my usual massive pre-Xmas cheque from TEP which easily pays for all of Xmas and the big trip to India too, business class!
The Xmas rally should be off the starting blocks soon so let's have a quick look.
First off if you have never tried to play it before PLEASE buy my last SB book which will in a detailed fashion take you through it.
Link is here:
I only get a quid if you buy it so it isn't a selling job, it is just that I have detailed chapters on how to play it, what to look for, how it can go wrong and how I played it over various years.
Main thing is: work out what you could lose if it goes horribly wrong.
I'll be covering it live on December 6th online for beginners and improvers, and of course at the hotel follow up on the 11th and the online follow up on the 15th.
Best way of playing it imo is using spreadbetting for a FTSE, DOW or Dax upbet.
You have to realise it is a gamble but you've got a bit of an edge as 85pc of the time it works out.
However there is always a dip at some point and it is easy to make a loss if you panic.
You've got to figure out how much you are prepared to lose if it doesn't happen or there is an unexpected black swan event.
Stops really do have to be loose or else you'll get kicked out early for a loss.
When does it all start? Difficult to say, generally the last ten trading days of the year are best but it can vary and last year there was a dip in the middle where you could have been stopped out.
Most importantly, don't go crazy and put too big a bet on it. Be sensible.
Let's say you did £10 a point. What if there was a black swan event and a fall of 400 points, could you afford to lose 4k? So weigh up your risk.
Indices operate mainly 24 hrs except weekends so stops can be hit overnight.
I'll be using TN and Sco as both have cheap spreads at under 1pt.
TN is cheapest at 0.6pt and will be using this live at the beginner/improver online and the follow up events at the hotel on the 11th and the online alternative on the 15th.
So if you are coming to any of the December seminars might be handy to set up a TN account as we will be using it live at all of them
Link is here:
Sco has a 0.8 spread and does a bigger range of shares here:
>
NEW: Live online Seminar Feb 9th
For beginners and improvers.
Spend a day with me live from NT HQ with live markets and more.
Includes:
Share screening - Level 2- Trade hunting - Trade planning- spreadbetting-
Shorting - DMA - psychology - stop losses - taking profits - and lots more.
All live and using my own accounts to place trades on the day.
Interested? For more details mail me at robbiethetrader with
Feb seminar interested"
I've enjoyed reading "The Psychology of Money".
It's a best seller deservedly with 19 stories exploring how people think about money.
if you want to better with how you invest, trade or spend money it's a very worthwhile read!
Amazon link here:
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So, interesting times as we build up to Xmas and a possible decent December.
I'll be going through Xmas rallies in detail in the December seminars.
XMAS RALLY SPREADBETTING
I discovered a SB firm that does just 0.6 on the FTSE and tight spreads on 100 and 250 shares, also handy right now if you are shorting given the such tight spread
Just a 0.6 spread for the FTSE which is fantastic and the best I've found.
That is going to be great for the Xmas rally bet.
Spreads on FTSE 100 and 250 stocks are really tight, I shop around SB sites when I am about to trade for the best spread and this one keeps coming out the best.
Here's the link if you want to sign up, on this link the lovely Lorenzo will help out if you run into trouble or make a fat finger trade.
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Let me know if you run into any problems with it but seems a no brainer for the Xmas rally or a short.
I've finished the book on AI - "The Coming Wave".
It's a must read for any investor - I've learned a lot, the writer co-founded Deepmind, one of the world's leading AI cos.
It's fascinating, some of the conclusions are scary and it's good to try and understand it, though in the end he concludes AI will being a lot of benefits. It will also drive some shares down and some up.
Buy and read! Amazon link:
One or two of you asked about how we got our car back after it was stolen, we used apple airtags, hide them in your car or under your bike seat and get your car or bike back, amazing.
Amazon have them, link here:
The steering lock we were recommended and bought you can get from amazon, link here:
I love companies with decent cash piles and I've developed a screen for shares with cash with Sharepad to go with my new book.
The screen goes with one of my strategies from the new book "Dash for Cash".
The idea is it picks up sensible shares with a cash pile for further examination.
I don't mean it to be "just buy any share on the screen." My idea is it's a start for further research as just because a company has a cash pile doesn't necessarily mean it's a great company.
If you don't have Sharepad you can try a free trial using the link below, if you think it is useful after the trial you get a decent discount on the link and can pay monthly if you want.
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HIGH RISK SIPP
WEBSITE UPDATES TO YOUR MAILBOX?
Want my website email - that's all this stuff delivered to your mailbox on update days a little early plus one or two exclusive trades not shown here?
E-mail for details at robbiethetrader with "Website and exclusive trades email offer."
Stockopedia has some decent screens, start for example with the quality screen.
For a 25% discount , a free trial and access to lots of great screening tools and lots more go to
20% discount for research tree.
Research Tree is a site that offers broker notes on shares, indepth with all the financials and target prices. So if a company reports, you can see what the brokers think - and you can also see the upgrades and downgrades. Plus the top shorted shares, a news feed and lots more.
To access the discount, go to
>
Spreadco has tight spreads for FTSE 250 shares.
> to open an account under Dymitry.
For small caps try Spreadex say for the moment they will carry on with most of the shares so that could be another place to deal in shares IG won't.
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Trade tables follow! Trades are current open and recently closed trades. Closed trades feature the closing price and the amount I won or lost. All others are open. Trades get updated a little later than the narrative. Trading costs are ignored, however I also do not add in dividend payments and with the kinds of companies I buy, dividends tend to equal or outweigh costs. Spread rollovers ignored for web purposes. Tables as accurate as poss however a mistake or two can creep in and very occasionally if I forgot I sold or bought something it will be added at a later time. Trades first reported in the diary under Markets every other Thursday afternoon.